After a denial.
Three paths exist, and the record says different things about each. What follows is what has been observed, with the counts behind it. None of it is a prediction about a particular case.
A denial is the hardest page in this process to read. It is also a document with stated reasons — and the reasons are the part that can be worked with. Below: where denials in profiles like yours most often turn, and the three paths that appear in the record, each with its observed outcomes.
A refiled petition re-enters the public record only if it is denied and appealed again, so refile outcomes are not observable the way appeal outcomes are — the record is thinnest here, and we say so.
What is observable: the failure reasons above. A refile is a new petition, read fresh — the stated reasons in the notice are the part a new filing can address.
Each path starts from the same document: the notice and its stated reasons. How these numbers are made — and why appeal-outcome vocabulary appears here and on the methodology page but not elsewhere — is documented in full. The coded decisions themselves are in the case explorer.